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In-Depth Geopolitical and Macro Thematic Research

AUKUS: The Most Important New Security Alliance (Part I)

AUKUS: The Most Important New Security Alliance (Part I)

Deterrence against an increasingly aggressive China 

Scott Smitson /

The Wagner Group and Instability in the Sahel

The Wagner Group and Instability in the Sahel

What are the implications of an increasingly more Russia-aligned Sahel region?

Scott Smitson /

Does a BoJ Rate Hike Matter?

Does a BoJ Rate Hike Matter?

Momentum is building for a major policy change from the world's primary creditor nation.

Roger Hirst /

Commodities and Great Power Competition in Africa
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Commodities and Great Power Competition in Africa

Chinese influence, tensions between Ethiopia and Egypt, and the dispute over Somaliland

Scott Smitson /

“Peak China” and the Likelihood of War
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“Peak China” and the Likelihood of War

Does a weaker Chinese economy increase the likelihood of war?

Scott Smitson /

“Peak China” and the Likelihood of War
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“Peak China” and the Likelihood of War

Does a weaker Chinese economy increase the likelihood of war?

Scott Smitson /

When Can Investors Return to China?
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When Can Investors Return to China?

Structural change in the outlook for China or a buying opportunity for an oversold equity market?

Roger Hirst /

Venezuelan Saber Rattling with Guyana
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Venezuelan Saber Rattling with Guyana

While it appears that both sides have stepped back from the brink, the odds of accidents or miscalculations between the militaries of Venezuela and Guyana leading to escalation should be taken seriously

Scott Smitson /

Uranium is Having a Moment
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Uranium is Having a Moment

The price of uranium is surging - this piece explores the geopolitical and fundamental drivers of the move.

Tim Purcell /

Moving Away from Money Market Funds
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Moving Away from Money Market Funds

Where might Money Market Funds liquidity move into this time around?

Diego Tremiterra /

What if the Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates in 2024?
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What if the Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates in 2024?

In 2024, investors should expect a trading environment rather than an investing environment until the current stop-start recession narrative is conclusively resolved

Roger Hirst /

Houthi Attacks on International Shipping
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Houthi Attacks on International Shipping

What Has Happened to International Shipping? How is the Shipping Industry Responding? How is the US Military Responding? And How Are Markets Responding?

Scott Smitson /