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When Can Investors Return to China?

Structural change in the outlook for China or a buying opportunity for an oversold equity market?

China and the US have indisputably been the main players on the global economic stage over the last twenty-five years. Very broadly speaking:

  • China’s rapid domestic economic expansion has been the engine of global demand growth.

  • The US has been the doorkeeper for global dollar liquidity that has greased the wheels of economic activity.

The demise of the dollar remains a distant possibility for now but China’s struggles, on the other hand, appear to be gaining momentum.

This piece will explore whether we believe this is a structural change in the outlook for China or if this is a buying opportunity for an oversold equity market.

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