the global economy

simplified

A 2x weekly newsletter covering the intersection of macro, markets, geopolitics, and cryptocurrencies, for both the professional and retail investor.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Using Unemployment Data to Time Equity Market Bottoms

How can we use Initial Jobless Claims to time the bottoming of equity markets?

Diego Tremiterra
Markets
Members Public

Into Year End, It’s All About Policy Makers

With an energy crisis, elections, geopolitical risks and ramping inflation, policy makers will have plenty of tough decisions to make into year-end.

Tim Purcell
Charts
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Charts of the Month - August '22

Inflation Reduction Act, CINE vs AMC, Concentration of PV and Semis, Oil Supplies, Elemental Power

Diego Tremiterra
Crypto
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Bitcoin and Time Horizons

Bridge protocols, Bitcoin's investment time horizons, and New addresses momentum.

Jacob Shapiro
Geopolitics
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A Geopolitical Primer on Taiwan

What's happening in Taiwan and why does it matter?

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Stock Market Rally, China Rebound in 2H, and Commodity Prices vs Volumes

Stock market rallies could be self-defeating, the likelihood of China rebounding in 2H, and the preference for direct commodities exposure.

Diego Tremiterra
Editorial
Members Public

The EU and Its Russian Energy Dependence

Can the EU move away from Russian imports? We break it down for you.

Diego Tremiterra
Recap
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July at Lykeion

We look back at what we've written over the past month.

Tim Purcell
Charts
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Charts of the Month - July '22

Tesla vs. Toyota, PEs at Market Bottoms, Energy Arbitrage, Sovereign Defaults, Nuclear Reactors, Home Sales by Price Range, World Cup Spending

Jacob Shapiro
Geopolitics
Members Public

Nat Gas, LNG, and the Need for Alternatives to Russian Pipelines

Natural Gas and LNG markets are top of mind for global geopolitics. What should we be aware of?

Tim Purcell
Charts
Members Public

Financial Conditions Index vs. Inflation

Are conditions tight enough to slow inflation?

Diego Tremiterra
Markets
Members Public

Markets in 2H: Earnings Downgrades and Margin Compression

We look back at what markets did in the first half of the year and highlight the main themes for the second half.