Macro

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Using Unemployment Data to Time Equity Market Bottoms

How can we use Initial Jobless Claims to time the bottoming of equity markets?

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Stock Market Rally, China Rebound in 2H, and Commodity Prices vs Volumes

Stock market rallies could be self-defeating, the likelihood of China rebounding in 2H, and the preference for direct commodities exposure.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

The Euro, the State of the Bear Market, and the Need for a Stronger USD

Deep dive into the current macro set-up, with a special focus on Europe, Japan, and the US.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Time to be Contrarian?

Given where consensus stands currently, what are the options for investors?

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Yen Weakness, Why It Matters, and Recession Risks

We cover the latest developments around the Japanese Yen, and dissect its implication for Asia and the rest of the World.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Recession Risk Indicator: Yield Curve or Inflation?

Should we look at the yield curve or at inflation levels to assess the real risk of a recession?

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

The Case for Peak Hawkishness

What if we already reached peak hawkish sentiment?

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

The US Dollar in 2022: Cautiously Bullish

We look at what the USD did in 2021 and make the case for 2022.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Repricing of Rates, VAR Shocks, and the Dollar

How can monetary policy help solve the problem of higher input prices? It can't.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Tapering, Disappointing Data, and Lack of Global Growth

Whilst 'Tapering' in 2013 meant higher yields, this time around, if it does take place, it'll likely lead to lower yields.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

The Dollar, Emerging Markets, and Volatility

A surging dollar could have significant implications for reflation, emerging markets, and volatility.

Roger Hirst
Macro
Members Public

Market, Corporates and Central Banks’ View on Inflation

Commodity prices and CPI subcomponents continue to flag an increased risk of inflation.