We generate ideas at the intersection of Business, Finance, and Geopolitics.
Newsletters, Research, and Podcasts for institutional and retail investors, businesses, and universities.
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Highly recommend, superbly written and uniquely rational in a world that favours tribalism. The kind of macro and geopolitics research that looks at both sides of the story before coming to conclusions."
Dylan Wilson, CIO at Peckham Spring Capital
Instead of focusing on ‘what’ to think, Lykeion highlights ‘how’ to think about macro and geopolitics in an objective, well-researched, and entertaining way without a specific bias or agenda. Highly recommended to anyone in finance, consulting, and economics.
Tomas Sampaio, Executive Director at Morgan Stanley
Finding Relative Value in Emerging Markets
Jacob and Roger explain why, given the current level of uncertainty, it might be wise to look at relative value opportunities within emerging markets.
Episode #1 - Grant Williams
Roger explores some of the lessons Grant has learned over the years of interviewing some of the brightest minds in markets.
Positive Stock-Bond Returns Correlation for the First Time in 30 Years, and Why it Matters
Stock and bond return correlation matters. We explain why and how to benefit from it.
War Update, Iran's Enriched Uranium, U.S. Trade Deals
Updates from around the world of Geopolitics.
Charts of the Month - February '23
Starbucks Profitability, Mediterranean Crossing, China Trade Deficit, Natural Gas, Retail Investor Flows, EPS Quality Deteriorating, Zombies, Negative Yielding Debt
Investing Through Japan’s Next Big Inflection Point
Jacob and Roger explain why most investors get Japan wrong and highlight the key ideas to keep in mind when investing in the country.
Bull Narratives Beware of the Macro Cycle
As bull cases re-emerge, remember to always consider the shifting macro backdrop
(EU)phoria: Taking Profits
We think that the latest market rally won't last, especially in Europe.
Charts of the Month - Jan '23
First time reading Lykeion? Sign up here. Black Gold “When we think about commodities in physical markets, they’re what we call volume-metric markets. They’re driven by the quantity consumed. To be bullish on an oil market or a copper market, it’s really easy. You look at the
Evolving Alliances and Why We’re Still Bullish Brazil
We explore last month's local news of global impact and remind readers of why we still like Brazil.
Max Geopolitical & Macro Uncertainty in Q1.
Jacob and Roger explain why the uncertainties around the Russia-Ukraine War and China's Re-Opening should make investors extremely conservative in Q1.
Max Uncertainty in 2023, So Focus on The Long Term
In a year of max uncertainty due to the divergence of outcomes possible, let's focus on what we know.
Lessons Learned in 2022
We highlight the six lessons we learned in 2022.
