Ideas at the intersection of Business, Finance, and Geopolitics.
Newsletters, Research, and Podcasts for Institutional & Retail Investors, Businesses, and Universities.
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Highly recommend, superbly written and uniquely rational in a world that favours tribalism. The kind of macro and geopolitics research that looks at both sides of the story before coming to conclusions."
Dylan Wilson, CIO at Peckham Spring Capital
Instead of focusing on ‘what’ to think, Lykeion highlights ‘how’ to think about macro and geopolitics in an objective, well-researched, and entertaining way without a specific bias or agenda. Highly recommended to anyone in finance, consulting, and economics.
Tomas Sampaio, Executive Director at Morgan Stanley
Lykeion Research - May '23
Turkey, DAX, Oil, US-China, Germany-Ukraine, Recession, Gold, Debt Ceiling.
Charts of the Month - May '23
First time reading Lykeion? Sign up here. Let the Games Begin Oil M&A is back! It’s been a while since we’ve seen big M&A moves in Oil & Gas, but that’s all about to change. After sequential record-breaking years by U.S. super majors Exxon and
Relative Value in Sweden, and What NOT to Do Right Now
Sweden's relative trade opportunity and what to avoid doing in the most uncertain macro backdrop of the last 50 years.
Episode #3: Jacob Shapiro
Roger & Jacob discuss investing through a Geopolitical Framework. China, USD hegemony and de-globalization.
Charts of the Month - April '23
Base Metals, Freeport McMoRan Overview, and Higher Rates are Beginning to Crack the Foundations
Lykeion Research - April '23
MOVE vs VIX, The Dollar's Demise, Turkey's Elections, ISM and Unemployment, Russia-Ukraine War Update, Brazil's Geopolitical Strategy, and Sudan's Proxy War.
Episode #2: Julian Brigden
Roger & Julian discuss the current macro landscape and how the Fed likely knew a hard landing was always going to be the likely scenario.
China-Taiwan Ship Inspections, OPEC+, Russia/Ukraine Update
Russia/Ukraine Update, China-Taiwan Ship Inspections, OPEC+ Oil Cuts, EU LNG, Germany Getting Serious about EU Spending, Middle East Update
Dovish Reset and What to Expect in Q2
We highlight the most important events of Q1 and what to expect for Q2.
Charts of the Month - March '23
Unfunded Liabilities, BTFP, Derivatives, Q1 Sector Performance, Housing Affordability, Netflix Loves COVID, SVB
Finding Relative Value in Emerging Markets
Jacob and Roger explain why, given the current level of uncertainty, it might be wise to look at relative value opportunities within emerging markets.
Episode #1 - Grant Williams
Roger explores some of the lessons Grant has learned over the years of interviewing some of the brightest minds in markets.
Positive Stock-Bond Returns Correlation for the First Time in 30 Years, and Why it Matters
Stock and bond return correlation matters. We explain why and how to benefit from it.
